本页收录本站已发布的第一卷地图与真实的土地）全部译文，顺序参照英文原版readthesequences.com。 第二卷及后续内容请见此处。
前言
第一卷：地图与真实的土地（Book I: Map and Territory
A. 可以预见的错误（Predictably Wrong
- 我所谓的理性到底是什么意思？｜What Do I Mean By "Rationality"?
- 感受理性｜Feeling Rational
- 为何寻求真实｜Why Truth? And…
- 何谓偏见｜… What's a Bias, Again?
- 可获得性｜Availability
- 繁琐的细节｜Burdensome Details
- 计划谬误｜Planning Fallacy
- "显然"是种错觉：为什么没人理解你｜Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You
- 被低估的推断距离｜Expecting Short Inferential Distances
- 看到自己瑕疵的镜头｜The Lens That Sees Its Own Flaws
B. 虚假信仰（Fake Beliefs
- 让信念（用预期）支付租金｜Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)
- 一个有关科学和政治的寓言｜A Fable of Science and Politics
- 对信念的信念｜Belief in Belief
- 贝叶斯之道｜Bayesian Judo
- 假装智慧｜Pretending to be Wise
- 宗教声称自己不可证伪｜Religion's Claim to be Non-Disprovable
- 伪称信念与异教欢呼｜Professing and Cheering
- 信念外套｜Belief as Attire
- 掌声提示光｜Applause Lights
C. 注意困惑（Noticing Confusion
- 集中你的不确定性｜Focus Your Uncertainty
- 什么是证据？｜What Is Evidence?
- 科学证据，法律证据，理性证据｜Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence
- 支持一个信念需要多少证据？｜How Much Evidence Does It Take?
- 爱因斯坦的傲慢｜Einstein's Arrogance
- 奥卡姆剃刀｜Occam's Razor
- 作为理性主义者的力量｜Your Strength as a Rationalist
- 没有证据表明 = 证据表明没有｜Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence
- 证据期望值守恒论｜Conservation of Expected Evidence
- 后见之明贬低科学价值｜Hindsight Devalues Science
D. 神秘的答案（Mysterious Answers
- 虚假的解释｜Fake Explanations
- 猜老师的密码｜Guessing the Teacher's Password
- 科学外套｜Science as Attire
- 虚假的因果｜Fake Causality
- 语义停止信号｜Semantic Stopsigns
- 神秘问题的神秘答案｜Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions
- 毫无意义的"涌现"｜The Futility of Emergence
- 不要说"复杂性"｜Say Not "Complexity"
- 阳性偏差：望向黑暗｜Positive Bias: Look into the Dark
- 合乎法则的不确定性｜Lawful Uncertainty
- 我盲目而鲁莽的青春｜My Wild and Reckless Youth
- 未能从历史中吸取教训｜Failing to Learn from History
- 让历史为你所用｜Making History Available
- 解释 / 崇拜 / 忽略？｜Explain/Worship/Ignore?
- 终止好奇心：以科学之名｜"Science" as Curiosity-Stopper
- 真正属于你｜Truly Part of You
插曲（Interlude
第二卷（How to Actually Change Your Mind）及后续卷目前由Thoughts Memo 翻译组在知乎专栏更新，英文原版请见readthesequences.com/Contents。